Deep Learning-Based Uncertainty Estimation for Multimodal Surgical Navigation by Integrating Medical Image Segmentation and Real-Time Spatial Tracking

Authors

  • Wout de Werd Department of Computer Science, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY, USA. Author
  • Isidoro Botella Department of Computer Science, University of North Texas, Denton, TX, USA. Author
  • Ramona Ernst Department of Computer Science, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA. Author
  • Jordana Ferrandez Department of Computer Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA. Author

Keywords:

surgical navigation; multimodal fusion; uncertainty estimation; medical image segmentation; spatial tracking; clinical governance

Abstract

Multimodal surgical navigation increasingly depends on deep learning segmentation, real-time spatial tracking, and intraoperative imaging to provide clinicians with context-aware anatomical guidance. Although segmentation models can delineate complex structures and tracking systems can localize instruments with high temporal resolution, their integration introduces new uncertainty pathways that are not captured by conventional accuracy metrics. This paper examines deep learning-based uncertainty estimation as a system-level capability for multimodal surgical navigation. The central argument is that uncertainty should not be treated as a post hoc confidence score but as an architectural and governance layer that connects image segmentation, registration, tracking, visualization, and clinical action. The analysis considers how epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty arise across multimodal pipelines, how latency and synchronization constraints shape fusion strategies, and how calibrated uncertainty can support safer human-machine teaming in operating rooms. Particular attention is given to structural trade-offs among accuracy, interpretability, computational load, and robustness in dynamic anatomy. The paper also discusses deployment infrastructure, maintenance, energy use, equity of access, regulatory oversight, and post-market surveillance. Through cross-domain comparisons with image-guided neurosurgery, laparoscopic augmented reality, and orthopedic navigation, it identifies recurrent failure modes and design principles. The conclusion is that uncertainty-aware multimodal navigation can improve safety only when uncertainty is legible to clinicians, auditable by institutions, and integrated into policies for validation, updating, and accountability. The proposed orientation treats uncertainty estimation as a socio-technical infrastructure rather than a purely algorithmic add-on.

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Published

2026-10-13